HomeNewsABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator falls sharply in November, confidence in profit margins...

ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator falls sharply in November, confidence in profit margins dips

Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC)’s Construction Backlog Indicator fell to 8.1 months in November, according to an ABC member survey conducted Nov. 20 to Dec. 8. The reading is down 0.3 months since both October 2025 and November 2024.  

Backlog is down on both a monthly and yearly basis for every size of contractor other than those with greater than $100 million in annual revenues.

“Backlog declined sharply in November and is now at the lowest level since February 2024,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “The decline was particularly steep for the smallest contractors—ABC members with under $30 million in annual revenues registered their lowest backlog reading in over four years.

“Notably, fewer than 6% of those smallest contractors are under contract to work on data center projects, well below the 37% share for contractors with greater than $100 million in annual revenues.”

ABC’s Construction Confidence Index reading for sales increased in November, while the readings for profit margins and staffing levels declined. The readings for all three components remained above the threshold of 50, indicating expectations for growth over the next six months.

“Despite the decline in backlog, contractors remain broadly optimistic that their sales and staffing levels will expand over the next six months,” said Basu. “At the same time, just 33.6% of contractors expect their profit margins to expand over the next two quarters, the lowest share in over a year. That likely reflects growing anxiety about materials costs, which have started to rise after several quarters of relative stability.”

The reference months for the Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index data series were revised on May 12, 2020, to better reflect the survey period. CBI quantifies the previous month’s work under contract based on the latest financials available, while CCI measures contractors’ outlook for the next six months. View the methodology for both indicators. The full Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index data series can be viewed here.

About Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC)

Celebrating its 75th anniversary in 2025, Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) is a national construction industry trade association established in 1950 with 67 chapters and more than 23,000 members. Founded on the merit shop philosophy, ABC helps members develop people, win work and deliver that work safely, ethically and profitably for the betterment of the communities in which ABC and its members work. 

Visit abc.org/economics for the Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index, plus analysis of spending, employment, job openings and the Producer Price Index.

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